Current Odds (subject to change) – Chicago +1.5
Series History: Chicago 93 wins / Green Bay: 89 Wins
By Dave Squires – @davefalcon90
One of the NFL’s oldest rivalries continues on Sunday and, although week 4 may be too early for ‘must win games’, if the Packers lose they’ll drop to 1-3, 0-2 in the division and 0-3 in the conference and that is a hole they won’t want to find themselves in.
Perhaps the desperation factor could provide the edge that Green Bay needs especially as the Packers and Aaron Rodgers have won several ‘must win’ games over the last few years, including a week 17 win in Chicago in 2013 that put the Packers into the playoffs at the expense of the Bears.
The Packers have not fared well in their two road games so far losing by a combined score of 55-23 in Seattle and Detroit. The Bears lost their only home game so far to the Buffalo Bills so something has to change for one of these teams.
Both offenses are putting up similar numbers in terms of yards but Chicago has the advantage in points per game, averaging 25 compared to Green Bay’s 18.
Chicago holds the advantage in defense too, allowing 20.7 points per game to Green Bay’s 26.3 which ranks 28th in the league, in short the Packers defense must step up starting with getting pressure on the quarterback something that they have not done much of so far.
After a surprising defeat to the Bills on opening day the Bears have won two straight primetime road games and, although they seemed to benefit from a couple of questionable officiating calls against the Jets on Monday, the defense has stepped up and made some plays late on in both those games.
Although everything on the stat sheet points to a Bears win, the fact that the Packers have their backs against the wall against their biggest rival may be exactly what this team needs to get going or perhaps the better team right now will prevail.